Covering the Land of Lincoln

ESPN FPI sees a tight race to the finish for Wisconsin in the Big Ten West

The tide has turned for the Wisconsin Badgers 2021. The team has won three games in a row, was finally able to defeat a ranking opponent and is now leaving next weekend with the chance to take control of the Big Ten West.

While Wisconsin’s win over Purdue set the Badgers up for a race for first place in Iowa, the Minnesota Golden Gophers also got back into the game with another Big Ten win.

All three teams have yet to play against each other, so we’re nearing the end of the Big Ten regular season.

Related: Big Ten Power Rankings after Week 8 – Hey, Wisconsin

ESPN FPI predicted a 6-6 final record for the Badgers competing on Saturday. These projections have now been updated in a positive direction for Wisconsin.

Here is FPI’s updated game-by-game prediction for the Wisconsin Badgers:


Five lessons from Wisconsin’s 30:13 win over Purdue

Oct. 30 vs. Iowa

October 9, 2021; Iowa City, Iowa, USA; Iowa Hawkeyes quarterback Spencer Petras (7) throws a pass in the second quarter against the Penn State Nittany Lions at Kinnick Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

Prospective Winner: Iowa
Badgers win probability: 46.3% (Before: 42.1%)

Projected running record: 4-4

November 6th in Rutgers

12/12/2020; College Park, Maryland, USA; Rutgers Scarlet Knights quarterback Noah Vedral (0) throws as Maryland Terrapins defensive back Nick Cross (3) defends at Capital One Field in Maryland Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Prospective Winner: Wisconsin
Badgers win probability: 64% (Before: 62.6%)

Projected running record: 5-4

November 13th towards the northwest

September 3, 2021; Evanston, Illinois, USA; Northwestern Wildcats head coach Pat Fitzgerald reacts after a game against the Michigan State Spartans in the fourth quarter at Ryan Field. Mandatory Credit: Jon Durr-USA TODAY Sports

Prospective Winner: Wisconsin
Badgers win probability: 84.6% (Before: 83.2%)

The story goes on

Projected running record: 6-4

November 20 in Nebraska

08/28/2021; Champagne, Illinois, USA; Nebraska quarterback Adrian Martinez (2) runs past Illinois defensive lineman Keith Randolph Jr. (88) in the first quarter at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ron Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Prospective Winner: Wisconsin
Badgers win probability: 50.8% (Before: 49.4%)

Projected running record: 7-4

November 27 in Minnesota

09/02/2021; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Gophers running back Bryce Williams (21) reacts after a fourth quarter touchdown against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Huntington Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Harrison Barden-USA TODAY Sports

Prospective Winner: Wisconsin
Badgers win probability: 50.1% (Before: 50.4%)

Projected running record: 8-4

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