Covering the Land of Lincoln

ESPN FPI sees real trouble ahead for the Wisconsin Badgers

The Wisconsin Badgers straightened the ship with two straight wins, improving to 3-3 in the 2021 season and 1-2 in the Big Ten game.

The team now controls its own destiny in the Big Ten West thanks to Iowa’s loss to Purdue. That means Wisconsin has a chance to win and conquer the division.

It’s a difficult task for a team that has shown weaknesses this season, especially against good teams.

Related: Big Ten Power Rankings after week 7 – chaos again

ESPN FPI believes the path could be a little harder than some Badger fans believe, especially after Saturday’s results surrounding the conference.

Here is FPI’s updated game-by-game prediction for the Wisconsin Badgers:

Purdue tight end Payne Durham (87) celebrates a touchdown in the fourth quarter of an NCAA college football game on Saturday September 4, 2021 at Ross Ade Stadium in West Lafayette. Photo credit: Nikos Frazier / Journal & Courier-Imagn Content Services, LLC

Prospective Winner: Purdue
Badgers win probability: 44.8% (Before: 57.2%)

Projected running record: 3-4

October 9, 2021; Iowa City, Iowa, USA; Iowa Hawkeyes quarterback Spencer Petras (7) throws a pass in the second quarter against the Penn State Nittany Lions at Kinnick Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

Prospective Winner: Iowa
Badgers win probability: 42.1% (Before: 36.7%)

Projected running record: 3-5

October 9, 2021; Piscataway, New Jersey, USA; Michigan State Spartans running back Kenneth Walker III (9) is tackled by Rutgers Scarlet Knights defensive back Desmond Igbinosun (34) in the second half at SHI Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Prospective Winner: Wisconsin
Badgers win probability: 62.6% (Before: 59.4%)

Projected running record: 4-5

September 3, 2021; Evanston, Illinois, USA; Northwestern Wildcats head coach Pat Fitzgerald reacts after a game against the Michigan State Spartans in the fourth quarter at Ryan Field. Mandatory Credit: Jon Durr-USA TODAY Sports

Prospective Winner: Wisconsin
Badgers win probability: 83.2% (Before: 85.8%)

Projected running record: 5-5

08/28/2021; Champagne, Illinois, USA; Nebraska defensive lineman Tate Wildeman (92) tries to get his hands on Nebraska quarterback Adrian Martinez at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ron Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Prospective Winner: Nebraska
Badgers win probability: 49.4% (Before: 49%)

Projected running record: 5-6

09/02/2021; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Gophers running back Bryce Williams (21) reacts after a fourth quarter touchdown against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Huntington Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Harrison Barden-USA TODAY Sports

Prospective Winner: Wisconsin
Badgers win probability: 50.4% (Before: 57.9%)

Projected running record: 6-6

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